2016 Pre-Election Turnout Forecast

posted Nov 7, 2016, 1:55 PM by Michael McDonald   [ updated Nov 7, 2016, 1:57 PM ]
I expect over 135 million people to vote in the 2016 election. These numbers are my best pre-election guess by comparing to past elections and factoring in early voting numbers. After the election, I will estimate the turnout rate from the reported election night tallies and the historical outstanding vote counted following the election.

More information regarding the construct of the VEP (voting-eligible population) estimates used for the turnout rate denominator are here.

2016 November General Election Predictions