US Elections Project Blog
I expect over 135 million people to vote in the 2016 election. These numbers are my best pre-election guess by comparing to past elections and factoring in early voting numbers. After the election, I will estimate the turnout rate from the reported election night tallies and the historical outstanding vote counted following the election.
More information regarding the construct of the VEP (voting-eligible population) estimates used for the turnout rate denominator are here.
Early voting statistics for the 2016 November General Election are available here and will be updated throughout the election season
Turnout rates for the 2016 presidential nomination contests are available here, and will be updated throughout the election season.
See here for a spreadsheet of links to the American Community Survey data tables for congressional and state legislative districts. A full list of available tables from the Census Bureau is here. In the URL, change "DP02" to "DP03", "DP04", or "DP05" to get more tables. A useful table for citizenship by age is "S0501".
The United States Elections Project's entry to the Knight News Challenge is here -- check it out!
I am pleased to announce that the Political Science Department at the University of Florida is teaming up with the Florida State Association of Supervisors of Elections to conduct a forum on "Conducting Florida Elections" in Tallahassee on Feb. 20. The event is open to the public. See the agenda and please RSVP here. The event will be webcast, and information how to access the feed will be available on the agenda webpage.
The 2014 election was the lowest turnout election since 1942. See the 2014 general national and state turnout rates.
Early voting statistics for the 2014 general election are now available. At the beginning of the early voting period only a few states provide statistics. More will be added as more data become available.
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